A new general election poll suggests that Labour will hold on to Gedling.
Gedling is 42nd on the Tories’ list of Labour-held English and Welsh target seats, and is one they need to win to help get them a majority.
“As the Conservatives are expected to lose seats in Scotland and the southeast, the party must win Labour strongholds in the Midlands and the North if they are to take the majority. Pick any demographic metric and Gedling will appear roughly in the middle.”
If an election were called tomorrow, The Economist’s constituency polling shows the Tories have some work on their hands if they are to win. Polling of Gedling residents reveals:
- Labour would win approximately 42% of the vote, compared to the Conservatives’ 37%
- About half of leave voters would vote Conservative in the General Election
- A quarter would back the Brexit Party candidate
- Remain voters would break heavily for Labour
- About four in ten Labour voters think Jeremy Corbyn would make the best prime minister; nearly all Conservative voters would back Boris Johnson
*Constituency-level polling has a margin of error about five percentage-points either side of these estimates
Survation, a member of the British Polling Council, conducted the constituency polling for The Economist. 409 people aged 18+ living in the Gedling constituency were polled via telephone on November 4th 2019.
Gedling is the first of five constituency polls that The Economist will commission over the next five weeks, each of them in a seat that will reveal how the election campaign will pan out.
You can read more here: https://econ.st/32kUL1X