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‘Gedling is like a microcosm of the county as a whole’: Local democracy reporter Kit Sandeman profiles the Gedling constituency that the Tories will desperately want to win

In many ways, Gedling is like a microcosm of the county as a whole – with everything from leafy rural areas of countryside, to urban districts with relatively high deprivation, and small and medium towns as well.

The mixed demographics of the seat means both main parties enjoy pockets of very strong support throughout the area.

Currently a Labour seat, Gedling – as the fourth-most marginal seat in the county – will be a target for the Conservatives.

Labour increased its vote and seat share here at the local elections in May, and long-serving MP and former head teacher Vernon Coaker will be hoping to hold off the Conservative challenge.

Conservative Tom Randall, originally from Arnold, will be hoping to wipe out the Labour majority of less than 5,000.

The country will go to the polls on December 12

Hoping to capitalise on anti-Brexit protest votes will be Anita Prabhakar, from the Lib Dems.

And Graham Hunt, of the Brexit Party, will be hoping the seat which voted Leave in the referendum will tip votes his way on December 12.

A recent constituency poll for the Economist magazine predicted Labour will hold the seat. 

The polling found: 

  • Labour would win approximately 42 percent of the vote, compared to the Conservatives’ 37 percent
  • About half of leave voters would vote Conservative in the General Election – a quarter would back the Brexit Party candidate 
  • Remain voters would break heavily for Labour 
  • About four in ten Labour voters think Jeremy Corbyn would make the best prime minister; nearly all Conservative voters would back Boris Johnson

However constituency polling is fraught with difficulties, and tend to have a margin of error of aroun five percent.

The candidates announced so far are:

READ MORE:  GRAHAM FINCH: This general election is about so much more than just Brexit

Vernon Coaker, Labour

Tom Randall, Conservative

Anita Prabhakar, Liberal Democrat

Graham Hunt, Brexit Party

In 2017, Labour won with a majority of 4,694.

The full list of candidate won’t be known until Thursday, November 14. 

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