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General Election: How Election night will unfold across Notts

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The General Election campaign will end on the morning of July 4 as the nation goes to the polls to choose a Government.

After polling closes at 10pm, the counting of votes, run by local councils, begins almost immediately and leads to individual results by constituency trickling in through the early hours until an overall result is clear.

This is expected to be known early on in the morning of July 5, although official public declarations of results are made through the night as each constituency’s vote count concludes.

Here is a guide to when we will know Nottinghamshire’s next MPs, based on  various forecasts drawn from previous elections.

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10pm – As soon as the polls close, the exit poll will be released. Thousands of voters across key constituencies will have been asked anonymously how they voted to build a national picture.

They tend to be more accurate than opinion polls, correctly calling the Conservative landslide in 2019 within minutes of polls closing.

The ballot papers will then begin their journeys to counting centres.

The quickest results typically come from Newcastle or Sunderland, which often declare just after 11pm, but there will be a much longer wait in parts of Nottinghamshire.

Around 12.15am – The first expected result is in Broxtowe, which typically forecasts the national winner.

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In every election since the seat was created in 1983, it has voted for the party who has gone on to form the government.

It was held by Nick Palmer during the New Labour years, and Conservatives Anna Soubry and Darren Henry since 2010.

The winner on Thursday will give an early prediction of how the night could unfold.

Around 2.30am – Nottingham East and Nottingham South are expected to declare.

These are considered safe Labour seats, with majorities of around 17,000 and 12,000 respectively.

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Around 3am – The first Nottinghamshire ‘Red Wall’ seat of Mansfield is expected around this time.

Traditionally a Labour stronghold, it turned blue in 2017 and moved even further away in Boris Johnson’s 2019 election victory.

If Labour hopes to retake Downing Street, they will need to be winning their former seats like this.

Around the same time, results will come in from Newark and Rushcliffe – seen historically as two of the safest Tory seats in Nottinghamshire.

The Conservatives have a majority of nearly 22,000 in Newark, and haven’t lost there since 1997.

Rushcliffe was held for four decades by former MP Ken Clarke, but the Conservative majority has narrowed to 7,000 – Labour would be ecstatic to flip it.

3.30am – The results will be coming thick and fast across the country now – Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer will likely have a good idea which of them will be Prime Minister.

Labour will be hoping for an easy pick-up in Gedling.

They have won every election there since 1997 except the last one, where just 679 votes put the Conservatives over the top.

Nottingham North & Kimberley is a new constituency for this election, with parts of Broxtowe being added to the former Nottingham North seat, which was Labour held.

4am – Another Red Wall seat will declare in Bassetlaw, where the history of voting Labour dates back to the 1920s – only to be broken in 2019.

Sherwood Forest is another seat bellwether seat which often votes with the national population. By this stage of the night, it is unlikely to be a surprise to the candidates which way it swings.

4.30am – The last Nottinghamshire seat expected to declare is also one of the most unpredictable.

Ashfield was had been Labour for a generation until Conservative Lee Anderson won it in 2019 – only to be suspended from the party earlier this year and join Reform UK.

7am – Nearly every seat in the UK will have declared, and party leaders will be making victory or concession speeches.

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